NFL Wins Pool Update
Last updated November 21, 2023
Standings
| Rank | Team | Wins | Remaining Games | Win % | Win % Rank | Projected Wins (FPI) | Projected Rank (FPI) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nick Boucher | 20 | 20 | 64.5% | 1 | 31.1 | 2 |
| 2 | Mike Thorne | 19 | 21 | 63.3% | 2 | 31.7 | 1 |
| 3 | Gavin Gray | 18 | 20 | 58.1% | 3 | 27.6 | 4 |
| 4 | Andrew Batchelor | 17 | 20 | 54.8% | 4 | 28.9 | 3 |
| 5 | Andrew Moeller | 16 | 19 | 50.0% | 5 | 24.7 | 7 |
| 6 | Karl Loiseau | 15 | 21 | 50.0% | 5 | 25.1 | 6 |
| 6 | Matt Hogel | 15 | 20 | 48.4% | 7 | 25.9 | 5 |
| 8 | Luke Phelan | 14 | 20 | 45.2% | 8 | 23.5 | 8 |
| 9 | Dan Ellenberger | 13 | 21 | 43.3% | 9 | 22.7 | 9 |
| 10 | Steve Creaser | 9 | 21 | 30.0% | 10 | 16.9 | 10 |
- Projected wins taken from ESPN FPI projections.
Expanded Standings
| Team | Wins |
Projected Wins |
Next Opponent |
Win Probability in Next Game |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Boucher | ||||
| Baltimore Ravens | 8 | 11.7 | LAC | 0.62 |
| Cleveland Browns | 7 | 10.7 | DEN | 0.41 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 5 | 8.7 | TB | 0.59 |
| Mike Thorne | ||||
| Detroit Lions | 8 | 12.0 | GB | 0.75 |
| San Francisco 49ers | 7 | 12.0 | SEA | 0.72 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 4 | 7.7 | IND | 0.41 |
| Gavin Gray | ||||
| Philadelphia Eagles | 9 | 13.6 | BUF | 0.62 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 5 | 6.5 | KC | 0.20 |
| Atlanta Falcons | 4 | 7.5 | NO | 0.46 |
| Andrew Batchelor | ||||
| Kansas City Chiefs | 7 | 12.0 | LV | 0.80 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 6 | 9.2 | CHI | 0.62 |
| Los Angeles Rams | 4 | 7.7 | ARI | 0.54 |
| Andrew Moeller | ||||
| Buffalo Bills | 6 | 9.5 | PHI | 0.38 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 6 | 9.6 | CIN | 0.54 |
| Washington Commanders | 4 | 5.6 | DAL | 0.17 |
| Karl Loiseau | ||||
| Seattle Seahawks | 6 | 8.9 | SF | 0.28 |
| Denver Broncos | 5 | 8.0 | CLE | 0.59 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 4 | 8.2 | BAL | 0.38 |
| Matt Hogel | ||||
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 7 | 11.2 | HOU | 0.55 |
| New Orleans Saints | 5 | 9.1 | ATL | 0.54 |
| Chicago Bears | 3 | 5.6 | MIN | 0.38 |
| Luke Phelan | ||||
| Dallas Cowboys | 7 | 11.7 | WAS | 0.83 |
| Green Bay Packers | 4 | 7.5 | DET | 0.25 |
| New York Giants | 3 | 4.3 | NE | 0.38 |
| Dan Ellenberger | ||||
| Miami Dolphins | 7 | 11.7 | NYJ | 0.81 |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 5 | 7.9 | PIT | 0.46 |
| Carolina Panthers | 1 | 3.1 | TEN | 0.38 |
| Steve Creaser | ||||
| New York Jets | 4 | 6.5 | MIA | 0.19 |
| Tennessee Titans | 3 | 5.6 | CAR | 0.62 |
| New England Patriots | 2 | 4.8 | NYG | 0.62 |
- Win probability calculated from covers.com odds
Weekly Head-to-Heads
Leverage measured by:
* Circles to the top right are games between people closest to first
place
* Bigger circles indicate games that are more likely to be closely
contested
Strength of Schedule in the coming weeks
Draft Analysis
| Team | Wins |
Draft Spot |
Expected Wins |
Performance vs. Expectation |
Better Choices |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Boucher | |||||
| Baltimore Ravens | 8 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| Cleveland Browns | 7 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 1 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 5 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| Mike Thorne | |||||
| San Francisco 49ers | 7 | 3 | 8 | -1 | 1 |
| Detroit Lions | 8 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 0 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 4 | 30 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Gavin Gray | |||||
| Philadelphia Eagles | 9 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| Atlanta Falcons | 4 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 5 | 27 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| Andrew Batchelor | |||||
| Kansas City Chiefs | 7 | 2 | 8 | -1 | 2 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 6 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 |
| Los Angeles Rams | 4 | 29 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| Andrew Moeller | |||||
| Buffalo Bills | 6 | 4 | 7 | -1 | 6 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 6 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 |
| Washington Commanders | 4 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| Karl Loiseau | |||||
| Los Angeles Chargers | 4 | 8 | 7 | -3 | 10 |
| Seattle Seahawks | 6 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 |
| Denver Broncos | 5 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 1 |
| Matt Hogel | |||||
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 7 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 1 |
| New Orleans Saints | 5 | 14 | 6 | -1 | 5 |
| Chicago Bears | 3 | 23 | 4 | -1 | 6 |
| Luke Phelan | |||||
| Dallas Cowboys | 7 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 2 |
| New York Giants | 3 | 19 | 5 | -2 | 8 |
| Green Bay Packers | 4 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| Dan Ellenberger | |||||
| Cincinnati Bengals | 5 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 9 |
| Miami Dolphins | 7 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 0 |
| Carolina Panthers | 1 | 26 | 4 | -3 | 6 |
| Steve Creaser | |||||
| New York Jets | 4 | 10 | 6 | -2 | 11 |
| Tennessee Titans | 3 | 12 | 6 | -3 | 15 |
| New England Patriots | 2 | 24 | 4 | -2 | 6 |
Draft Results
